week 5 nfl picks
Отправлено 30 October 2020 - 22:33
week 5 nfl picks
Like I said, kinda dumb.He made his picks with the help of some strategically tossed Pupperonis. If he caught it, the home team was the pick. If it hit the ground, the visiting team would escape with a victory. This technique led us to a Washington win over the Patriots.Nine matchups have our panel split, including Rams-Seahawks and Browns-49ers in primetime.For the rest of us, it was a tough slate of games. James Brady, Christian DвЂ™Andrea, and Morgan Moriarty squeaked out winning records; everyone else finished below .500.The biggest reason there was so much Week 4 carnage was that our panel was in consensus on a whole bunch of picks that ended up going in the opposite direction. That shouldnвЂ™t be a problem in Week 5, because we donвЂ™t agree on much of anything.
BMO, a 5-year-old pit bull mix owned by Christian DвЂ™Andrea, was abandoned on the mean streets of Beloit, Wisconsin, as a puppy in the middle of a polar vortex. He also had mites, which reduced him to a quivering ball of gray sadness for the first six months of his life:The only teams that were in everybodyвЂ™s favor were the Eagles, Texans, Chargers, and Chiefs.He eventually grew back much of his fur and, after approximately 18 months of house training, developed into a very good (and very dumb) boy. His hobbies include chewing on shoes, crying out the window at dogs he is not allowed to play with, gruffly tolerating the hands-on affection of a toddler, and requiring expensive surgeries for torn ACLs. HereвЂ™s the face he makes right afterward!Even the 1-3 Steelers have a couple of us thinking theyвЂ™ll pull off an upset of the 2-2 Ravens. One of those experts is the same one who thinks Washington can hand the Patriots their first loss of the season. ItвЂ™s our Good Dog of the Week, and if last week is any indication, thereвЂ™s at least a shot heвЂ™s right.
The champion picker of Week 4 here at SB Nation was a dog.All of our Week 5 predictions are right here, although theyвЂ™re subject to change until Friday, just in case some breaking news makes an expert change their mind.In nine of the 15 games coming up this week, there were at least three experts on each side.Photo by Elsa/Getty Images.Ramsey was the only one who picked the Eagles, Panthers, Raiders, Dolphins, and Buccaneers to win. He got four of those five right en route to a 10-5 record. The only one of those upset calls he got wrong was Miami, but hey, when you swing for the fences and bash homers, sometimes you strikeout too.
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS) Point spread: Titans -3.I'm starting to wonder if Kirk Cousins is ever going to turn the corner. The Bears have a good defense, but posting just six points and allowing Chase Daniel to get a win last week is almost enough for Vikings fans to give up on the season. On the other side, Daniel Jones is one of the most talked-about players in the NFL right now, and for good reason. The Giants took a chance by inserting him into the starting lineup following an 0-2 start, and it turned out to be a great move. Jones has won his first two starts and has done so without Saquon Barkley and Golden Tate. This week he gets back Tate, who will be making his Giants debut at MetLife Stadium. I think his arrival will help Jones tremendously , and that Pat Shurmur will give him an important role in the offense immediately. Cousins will have a better day since this Giants defense is pretty bad, but the questions in Minnesota continue as the Vikings suffer their second straight loss.The pick: Cardinals 20-14 over Bengals.Let's jump on in:
The pick: Titans 24-17 over Bills.Sunday, 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN) Point spread: 49ers -3.5.Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (FOX) Point spread: Vikings -5.5.
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS) Point spread: Ravens -3.5.The pick: Ravens 31-17 over Steelers.Mason Rudolph received some flak for his performance against the Bengals on "Monday Night Football.'' While he led the Steelers to a 27-3 win, he threw 17 of his 28 passing attempts to running backs. It was all check downs and screens, while he threw only a couple of balls downfield. I believe that this was Mike Tomlin's game plan -- which is fine when you're facing the lowly Bengals. But if you want to win in the NFL, you're going to have to take some chances downfield, no matter who is throwing the ball. The Ravens will be looking for a rebound win after the embarrassing loss they took to the Browns last week, and if I'm Wink Martindale, I'm alternating between sending the house after Rudolph and sending three pass rushers while I take away everything close to the line of scrimmage.
Factors like your poolвЂ™s size, scoring system, prize structure, and even your current position in the pool standings should all weigh into your Week 5 pick strategy, and it takes a lot of data and math to get to the right answer.Once you know the best value picks of NFL Week 5, you can increase your odds to win your pool by making educated gambles on them. There are a lot of potential decisions to make, though, and not all of them will make sense for your specific pool.Last week, we highlighted three pairs of matchups. The three teams we highlighted as вЂњbetter valuesвЂќ (Ravens, Broncos, and Bears) went 1-2. Based on national public picking trends, the average pickвЂ™em player scored 1.1 wins from those three games, so the result was pretty much a wash against the public. If the Broncos hadnвЂ™t given up a game-winning field goal in the last minute, it would have been a great week for those value picks, but thatвЂ™s how it goes sometimes.Speaking of which, the Houston Texans are favored by 5 points this week over Atlanta at home and are being picked 90% of the time. The public has been high on Atlanta recently since the Falcons upset the Eagles and has been burned twice in a row, so they appear to be jumping ship and overrating Houston here.But the public is reacting to that primetime outcome and picking the Saints heavily while being more willing to take a chance on Green Bay to pull the road upset of Dallas.
As we will see below, in pickвЂ™em contests, the public appears to be responding to taking a beating last week by being more willing to pick upsets in Week 5. That, in turn, presents opportunities for value on some favorites.Getty Images / Joe Robbins.The Vikings were a popular choice last week to beat the Bears on the road, and lost. The Giants were a popular choice to beat Washington and won. So itвЂ™s pretty easy to see why the public is relatively down on the Vikings this week and high on the Giants. The Vikings, though, are a 5.5-point favorite and have a 69% chance of winning according to our models. The public is picking Minnesota 68% of the time, so you are getting a pretty solid favorite being picked at a slightly lower rate than its odds to win.Those results were just part of the larger trend last week, which featured many upsets when the public was heavily on favorites; all but three games in Week 4 featured a pick popularity above 75% for the favorite. So donвЂ™t worry too much if you had a losing record last week, as the average public entry did as well (7.2 wins out of 15 games).
Note: Win odds and estimated national pick popularity data below may change between publication time and kickoff time. If you want to see the latest numbers, our product updates multiple times per day.FantasyFootballers readers can get a free 3-day premium trial to TeamRankings , including all game predictions plus customized picks for your NFL survivor pools and pickвЂ™em contests. Otherwise, you can get all our recommended picks for your pickвЂ™em contest by signing up for our Football PickвЂ™em Picks product .But the Titans are a 3-point favorite here and have about a 60% chance of winning, giving you the expected value edge if you take Tennessee. Buffalo put up a fight against New England in Week 4, which likely made an impression with the public. But Bills quarterback Josh Allen did sustain a concussion on Sunday and his status for this game is still to be determined. The public does not seem to be reacting to the possibility that he is out on Sunday, yet. ThatвЂ™s something to keep an eye on throughout the week, as betting lines may move as a result.FREE TRIAL OFFER.Some proof of the real-world results: last year 80% of our subscribers reporting winning a prize in football pickвЂ™em pool . We invite you to give the product a try for free for NFL Week 5:
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Отправлено 01 November 2020 - 08:50
mlb daily fantasy picks
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His model led him to some massive returns from his MLB DFS picks in 2019, producing daily Fantasy baseball lineups on SportsLine that returned as much as 30x. He also finished in the top 1 percent of tournaments four times and the top 0.1 percent of tournaments twice last season. Anybody who has followed him has seen some huge returns.When it comes to daily Fantasy baseball, McClure is at his best. Recognized in the book "Fantasy Football (and Baseball) for Smart People: How to Turn Your Hobby into a Fortune" as a top MLB DFS player, McClure's proprietary projection model simulates each game 10,000 times, taking factors such as matchups and recent results into account. This allows him to find the best values on every site.McClure's MLB DFS strategy also includes rostering Rockies outfielder David Dahl. The 26-year-old slashed .302/.353/.524 in 413 plate appearances with 15 home runs, 61 RBIs and four stolen bases last season.The same problem exists when looking to choose pitchers out of Friday's MLB DFS player pool. Aces like Madison Bumgarner, Nathan Eovaldi and Justin Verlander are among a deep pool of pitching talent from which to choose. So how do you analyze matchups to cash in on Friday's MLB DFS slate? Before making your MLB DFS picks for Friday, be sure to check out the optimal MLB DFS strategy and advice from SportsLine's Mike McClure, a daily Fantasy pro who has almost $2 million in career winnings.
Now, with the MLB season continuing on Friday, July 24, McClure has locked in his top MLB daily Fantasy picks. Head to SportsLine now to see them.В© Provided by CBS Interactive Inc.Bogaerts was dealing with hamstring tightness earlier in the week, but is good to go Friday against the Orioles. Bogaerts turned in a spectacular year in 2019, hitting .309 with a career-high 33 home runs, 52 doubles and 117 RBIs. Bogaerts compiled a 5.2 WAR last season, and he also dominated the Orioles in the process вЂ“ hitting .324 with three homers, six doubles and 16 RBIs. Bogaerts' bat makes him a steal at this price point, so lock him in your MLB DFS lineups and look for a big return on Friday against Baltimore.
Dahl and the Rockies will take on Rangers Opening Day starter Lance Lynn, and the left-handed outfielder crushed right-handed starting pitching in 2019. He posted a .976 against righty starters and hit 13 of his 15 home runs against them.The first full day of the 2020 MLB season gets underway on Friday with 28 teams taking the field in empty stadiums to begin their 60-game seasons. All but two of those teams are celebrating their own 2020 MLB Opening Day, as the Dodgers and Giants play again after opening their seasons Thursday night. That makes for plenty of MLB DFS picks for players looking to cash in on tournaments, cash games and 50-50s on DraftKings and FanDuel. But how should you fill in your MLB DFS lineups without a full spring training to consider?Jun 23, 2018; New York City, NY, USA; Los Angeles Dodgers starting pitcher Clayton Kershaw (22) pitches against the New York Mets during the first inning at Citi Field.
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Отправлено 06 November 2020 - 01:53
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